Tag Archives: history

Level 5 #SelfDrivingCars by 2021, by 2030 gas cars drop near zero?

We’ll see… I’ll just leave this here : ) Will check back in a couple of years to see if gas and personal cars have gone the way of Kodak and the typewriter by then. Might be a bit upsetting for the Uber-bashing crowd out there, too. Some really interesting forecasts here and here:

  • Self-driving cars will launch around 2021
  • A private ride will be priced at 16¢ per mile, falling to 10¢ over time.
  • A shared ride will be priced at 5¢ per mile, falling to 3¢ over time.
  • By 2022, oil use will have peaked
  • By 2023, used car prices will crash as people give up their vehicles. New car sales for individuals will drop to nearly zero.
  • By 2030, gasoline use for cars will have dropped to near zero, and total crude oil use will have dropped by 30% compared to today.

 

Basic Income #basicincome

The subject is all the rage in nerd blogs and progressive debates. But it’s a bit ridiculous how quick people are to forget history and get carried away with hype. Basic income (various versions of it, and much more along those lines) has been extensively debated and tried in real life for many years. It has serious pros and cons that mostly still hold, even in the world of (gasp) iphones and facebooks. There is a rich body of works and real-life data for anyone who cares to set aside a few dogmas and take an unbiased look around. Yet most vocal people just pretend like nothing of that kind has ever occurred, and the dumb humanity just never happened to think of trying out the groundbreaking Finnish new ways…